Claim
Israeli intelligence officials told the United States that Hamas has no intention of disarming and is instead rebuilding its forces in Gaza, with up to 40,000 operatives and a restored tunnel network
Attributed to Israeli intelligence officials
Evidence
Multiple news outlets reported this claim in October 2025, originating from a Haaretz report citing Israeli sources. The Times of Israel confirmed and republished the report, stating Israeli intel officials told US counterparts that Hamas has up to 40,000 operatives, has no intention of disarming, and has restored much of its tunnel network. The same figures and framing (30,000–40,000 fighters, roughly pre-October 7 strength, repaired tunnels) were repeated by Daily Times (Pakistan), TheYeshivaWorld, and fnnews, all attributing the information to Haaretz's sourcing. Daily Times explicitly noted that 'these claims reflect Israeli intelligence assessments and have not been independently verified' by outside parties. I found no Reuters Fact Check, AFP Fact Check, Bellingcat, or EUvsDisinfo investigation specifically addressing this claim's accuracy.
Assessment
The claim that Israeli intelligence officials conveyed this assessment to the US is corroborated by multiple independent news outlets citing the same original Haaretz report, but the underlying intelligence assessment itself (troop numbers, tunnel rebuilding) is an unverified Israeli military assessment, not independently confirmed by any neutral body or fact-checking organization.
Confidence
Some independent corroboration was found, but it isn't yet conclusive.
Timeline
Oct 23, 2026, 9:51 AM UTC
LikelyInitial assessment.
First observed Oct 23, 2026, 9:51 AM UTC · Last reviewed Oct 23, 2026, 9:51 AM UTC